Alianza Lima vs Cultural San Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Cultural San — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Cultural San Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Alianza Lima 1-0 Cultural San — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima squeezed past Cultural San 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 55% of the ball to Cultural San's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.12 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.00 for Cultural San.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cultural San?
Alianza Lima 1-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Cultural San?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 61%, draw 22%, Cultural San 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.