Binacional 1-3 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binacional EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.17/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.03
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.9 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binacional
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Binacional Binacional PER
14.03.2023 Binacional Binacional 1-2 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
14.08.2022 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Binacional Binacional PER
21.03.2022 Binacional Binacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
18.10.2021 Binacional Binacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
30.11.2020 Binacional Binacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binacional
1-3
AWAY Universitario
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
389 Passes 263
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Binacional vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario beat Binacional 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Binacional had 59% of the ball to Universitario's 41%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Binacional and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Binacional vs Universitario?

Binacional 1-3 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binacional vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Binacional 28%, draw 34%, Universitario 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
19 Apr 2025
04:00 Alianza Lima vs Cultural San Analysis →
21:00 Sport Boys vs Cienciano Analysis →
23:30 Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Analysis →