Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico edged past Sporting Cristal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 32% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 68%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 2.08 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.33 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 28%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.