Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Alianza Atletico
1-0
Sporting Cristal
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2024

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Atletico v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.98/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.16
-19% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
13.4 Crosses 19.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 2.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 338
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 2-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 3-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
11.06.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
23.10.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
25.06.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
12.09.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER

Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-0
AWAY Sporting Cristal
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
99 Passes 332
57% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Alianza Atletico found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 30% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 70%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Atletico and 2.17 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?

Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 36%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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