Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +29%
1.48/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.25
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.1 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cienciano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
04.07.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
14.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
10.07.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
04.02.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
17.08.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2-2
AWAY Cienciano
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
221 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo and Cienciano couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cesar Vallejo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 42% of the ball to Cienciano's 58%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.33 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Cienciano?

Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 52%, draw 28%, Cienciano 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesar Vallejo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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