Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-7.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.47/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.75
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
24.9 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
239 Passes 245
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
25.06.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
27.03.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-2 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
193 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso edged past Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 45% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 55%, shots finished 19-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 60%, draw 21%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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