Cienciano 1-1 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.49/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.58
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
21.1 Crosses 13.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.30 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
14.05.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
10.07.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
04.02.2022 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
17.08.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
02.10.2020 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-1
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.88 xG 0.61
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
470 Passes 288
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 6
42 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and Cesar Vallejo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cienciano had 61% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 39%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 0.88 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cienciano and 0.33 for Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Cesar Vallejo?

Cienciano 1-1 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 41%, draw 27%, Cesar Vallejo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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