Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-2
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
Alianza Lima 1-0 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 71% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 29%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.37 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.50 for UTC Cajamarca.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima 1-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 58%, draw 24%, UTC Cajamarca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.