Cultural San 2-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.30/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.14
+64% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
30.0 Crosses 19.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-0
AWAY Cusco FC
0.90 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
198 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San saw off Cusco FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cultural San had 41% of the ball to Cusco FC's 59%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.90 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Cusco FC?

Cultural San 2-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 48%, draw 24%, Cusco FC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ BTTS No
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