Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Union Comercio — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Peru - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.87
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
47%
4-5
20%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Comerciantes Unidos The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Union Comercio The Market 30%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
1.21 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
11 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Comercio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2022 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-0 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PERU2
20.08.2021 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-0 HT 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PERU2
27.10.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
02.08.2018 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
27.09.2017 Union Comercio Union Comercio 3-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
26.06.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
3 - 1
AWAY Union Comercio
1.46 xG 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
355 Passes 195
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Comerciantes Unidos saw off Union Comercio 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Comerciantes Unidos as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Comerciantes Unidos had 60% of the ball to Union Comercio's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.17.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Comercio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.50 for Union Comercio.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Result & Final Score

Comerciantes Unidos 3 - 1 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 45%, draw 29%, Union Comercio 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
4 May 2024
02:00 Cienciano vs Cesar Vallejo Analysis →
04:30 Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Analysis →
21:00 Cultural San vs Cusco FC Analysis →
23:30 Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis →