Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v Union Comercio — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PERU2
4-0
HT 3-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PERU2
2-2
HT 1-1
Union Comercio
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-1
HT 1-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
PER
Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Union Comercio — Actual Match Statistics
Comerciantes Unidos saw off Union Comercio 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Comerciantes Unidos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 60% of the ball to Union Comercio's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Comercio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 2.50 for Union Comercio.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio?
Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 41%, draw 27%, Union Comercio 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.