Atletico San Luis 2-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
11%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.45
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
10%
5.97
X/2
10%
5.15
X/X
14%
3.93
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.61
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.12/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.0 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monterrey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.12.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
02.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.01.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-1
AWAY Monterrey
1.41 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
518 Passes 414
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atletico San Luis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 54% of the ball to Monterrey's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.41 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.33 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 36%, draw 26%, Monterrey 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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