Atletico San Luis 1-0 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.27
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.7 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Monterrey
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 383
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.12.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
02.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
22.01.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.07.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-0
AWAY Monterrey
0.51 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
296 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 43% of the ball to Monterrey's 57%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.51 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Atletico San Luis 1-0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 33%, draw 25%, Monterrey 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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