Cruz Azul vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-2
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul cruised past Necaxa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 70% of the ball to Necaxa's 30%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.92 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 51%, draw 25%, Necaxa 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.