Tigres UANL 1-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.41
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.79/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.11
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
25.5 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puebla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
422 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.08.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla CONLK
30.03.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
04.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
01.12.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
02.07.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
08.05.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-0
AWAY Puebla
0.71 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
570 Passes 321
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Puebla 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 61% of the ball to Puebla's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Puebla?

Tigres UANL 1-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 61%, draw 23%, Puebla 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5
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