Guadalajara vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
3-3
HT 2-2
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
Guadalajara 2-3 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 71% of the ball to Atlas's 29%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.15 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Atlas?
Guadalajara 2-3 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 51%, draw 27%, Atlas 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.