Atlas vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
3-3
HT 2-2
Guadalajara
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara squeezed past Atlas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Atlas had 42% of the ball to Guadalajara's 58%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlas and 1.67 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlas 33%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.