Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Toluca 1-0 on their travels.
From a near-even 40% / 28% / 32% read, it was Cruz Azul who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Toluca had 59% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 41%, shots finished 16-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toluca and 2.33 for Cruz Azul.
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Result & Final Score
Toluca 0 - 1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toluca 40%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.