Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.99/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.63
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.5 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mazatlan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.07.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.02.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-3 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
19.07.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
25.02.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 2-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
31.07.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
30.01.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-0 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-1
AWAY Mazatlan
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
392 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and Mazatlan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Pachuca carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pachuca had 59% of the ball to Mazatlan's 41%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Mazatlan.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Mazatlan?

Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 55%, draw 22%, Mazatlan 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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