Ümraniyespor 3-2 Isparta 32 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor EU Bookmakers 22%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-71% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
3-2
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Isparta 32 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor edged past Isparta 32 Spor 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 60% of the ball to Isparta 32 Spor's 40%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Ümraniyespor 3-2 Isparta 32 Spor in the Turkey - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 51%, draw 26%, Isparta 32 Spor 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
5 Dec 2024
13:30 Ankara Demirspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor Analysis →
13:30 Karaman FK vs Esenler Erokspor Analysis →
15:30 Hatayspor vs Osmaniyespor FK Analysis →
18:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Silivrispor Analysis →
20:30 Gaziantep FK vs Batman Petrolspor Analysis →