Ankara Demirspor 1-3 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.84/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-3
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor got the better of Ankara Demirspor 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day GMG Kastamonuspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 36% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 64%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Ankara Demirspor 1-3 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 36%, draw 28%, GMG Kastamonuspor 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
5 Dec 2024
13:00 Ümraniyespor vs Isparta 32 Spor Analysis →
13:30 Karaman FK vs Esenler Erokspor Analysis →
15:30 Hatayspor vs Osmaniyespor FK Analysis →
18:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Silivrispor Analysis →
20:30 Gaziantep FK vs Batman Petrolspor Analysis →