Karaman FK 0-2 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karaman FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.27/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.60
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karaman FK
0-2
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karaman FK vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor got the better of Karaman FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karaman FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karaman FK had 47% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 53%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Karaman FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Karaman FK 0-2 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karaman FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karaman FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karaman FK 41%, draw 25%, Esenler Erokspor 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karaman FK)
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