Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.95
X/2
12%
7.99
X/X
16%
5.83
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
9%
5.35
2/X
4%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.14/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.72
+23% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
21.12.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
240 Passes 447
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Stuttgart II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 39% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 61%, shots finished 18-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.50 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 45%, draw 26%, Stuttgart II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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