Stuttgart II 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 25% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
2.22/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
+36% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.7 Crosses 18.6
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
444 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
327 Passes 447
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II and Rot-Weiss Essen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 43% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 57%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Stuttgart II 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 36%, draw 25%, Rot-Weiss Essen 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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