Kickers Offenbach 3-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.19/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.63
-13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Offenbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-1 HT 2-1 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
29.03.2025 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 3-2 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.09.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 4-2 HT 2-2 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Offenbach vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Offenbach saw off Mainz 05 II 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kickers Offenbach as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kickers Offenbach and 2.17 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Kickers Offenbach vs Mainz 05 II?

Kickers Offenbach 3-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Offenbach vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Offenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kickers Offenbach 42%, draw 24%, Mainz 05 II 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kickers Offenbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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