Werder Bremen II 2-2 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.98/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.25
+35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
26.03.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
27.11.2024 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 3-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.02.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-2 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II and Phönix Lübeck couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.25 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Werder Bremen II 2-2 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 28%, draw 30%, Phönix Lübeck 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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