RFC Seraing 0-1 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.17/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.1 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
05.10.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-2 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
23.12.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
19.08.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 0-3 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
29.01.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
28.08.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
0-1
AWAY AS Eupen
0.46 xG 0.82
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
211 Passes 556
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen edged past RFC Seraing 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AS Eupen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 31% of the ball to AS Eupen's 69%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AS Eupen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for RFC Seraing and 1.17 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen?

RFC Seraing 0-1 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 32%, draw 25%, AS Eupen 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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