Grenoble 1-0 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Dec 2025

Grenoble
1-0 HT 0-0
Nancy
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Grenoble vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 35% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.54
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
11%
5.17
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.5
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grenoble v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.11/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.05
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.9 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Grenoble vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Nancy
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2022 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
21.09.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 4-1 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
20.02.2021 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
24.11.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
22.11.2019 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
15.03.2019 Grenoble Grenoble 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR2

Grenoble 1-0 Nancy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-0
AWAY Nancy
2.25 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
399 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble nicked a narrow win over Nancy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Grenoble found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grenoble had 55% of the ball to Nancy's 45%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.25 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grenoble's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grenoble had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grenoble and 0.50 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Nancy?

Grenoble 1-0 Nancy in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 36%, draw 27%, Nancy 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nancy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
5 Dec 2025
22:00 Le Mans FC vs Amiens SC Analysis →
22:00 Clermont vs Boulogne Analysis →
22:00 Bastia vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
22:00 Guingamp vs Annecy Analysis →