Guingamp 0-3 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Dec 2025

Guingamp
0-3 HT 0-1
Annecy
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Guingamp vs Annecy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.14
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
8%
6.65
X/X
9%
4.16
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
16%
5.29
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.9
Value flag · 2/X at 14.9 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Annecy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.34/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.1 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Guingamp vs Annecy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Annecy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
303 Passes 255
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.01.2025 Annecy Annecy 1-4 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
20.09.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 2-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
03.02.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 1-4 HT 1-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
05.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-4 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
18.03.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-4 HT 0-1 Annecy Annecy FR2

Guingamp 0-3 Annecy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-3
AWAY Annecy
1.06 xG 1.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
473 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annecy cruised past Guingamp 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guingamp had 63% of the ball to Annecy's 37%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.06 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guingamp and 2.17 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Annecy?

Guingamp 0-3 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 26%, Annecy 29%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5
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