Guingamp 2-2 Annecy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
20%
4.08
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.51
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
7%
14.95
Value flag · X/2 at 8.51 — our 15% vs market 8.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Annecy EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.3 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Annecy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 2.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
312 Passes 260
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 1-4 HT 1-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
05.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-4 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
18.03.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-4 HT 0-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-2
AWAY Annecy
1.45 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 198
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Annecy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Annecy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Guingamp had 59% of the ball to Annecy's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Annecy led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guingamp and 2.50 for Annecy.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Annecy?

Guingamp 2-2 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Annecy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 23%, Annecy 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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