Martigues 0-4 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.92
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
16%
5.86
X/2
17%
4.7
X/X
13%
3.47
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.58
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 42%
-23% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.65/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.25
-99% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.0 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.02.2002 Grenoble Grenoble 3-2 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
22.09.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
0-4
AWAY Grenoble
0.74 xG 2.53
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
298 Passes 539
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble swept aside Martigues 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Grenoble made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Martigues had 38% of the ball to Grenoble's 62%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.74 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Grenoble led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Martigues and 2.00 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Grenoble?

Martigues 0-4 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Martigues 36%, draw 29%, Grenoble 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Martigues), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Martigues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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