Dunkerque vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dunkerque v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Dunkerque vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Dunkerque
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Pau
FR2
1-2
HT 0-2
Dunkerque
FR2
3-1
HT 0-0
Dunkerque
FR2
2-2
HT 2-1
Pau
FR2
Dunkerque 3-2 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Pau 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dunkerque had 52% of the ball to Pau's 48%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.55 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunkerque had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dunkerque and 1.17 for Pau.
What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Pau?
Dunkerque 3-2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 31%, draw 30%, Pau 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.