Bastia vs Paris FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bastia v Paris FC — Team-Based Signals
Bastia vs Paris FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Paris FC
FR2
2-1
HT 2-0
Paris FC
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR2
Bastia 2-1 Paris FC — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Paris FC 2-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Bastia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bastia had 34% of the ball to Paris FC's 66%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.86 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bastia and 0.83 for Paris FC.
What was the final score of Bastia vs Paris FC?
Bastia 2-1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bastia vs Paris FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bastia 35%, draw 33%, Paris FC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.