Annecy 1-4 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Jan 2025

Annecy
1-4 HT 0-1
Guingamp
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Annecy vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.6
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.34
X/2
10%
5.94
X/X
19%
4.24
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.19
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annecy v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annecy EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.06/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.22
-15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.4 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Annecy vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annecy
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Guingamp
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
2.21 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
245 Passes 317
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 2-2 HT 1-1 Annecy Annecy FR2
03.02.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 1-4 HT 1-2 Annecy Annecy FR2
05.08.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-4 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
18.03.2023 Annecy Annecy 1-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
08.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-4 HT 0-1 Annecy Annecy FR2

Annecy 1-4 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annecy
1-4
AWAY Guingamp
0.77 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
296 Passes 248
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Annecy vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp ran out comfortable winners over Annecy 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Guingamp found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Annecy had 54% of the ball to Guingamp's 46%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.77 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Annecy had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Annecy and 1.60 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Annecy vs Guingamp?

Annecy 1-4 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annecy vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annecy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Annecy 40%, draw 30%, Guingamp 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Annecy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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