Rodez 2-1 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Jan 2025

Rodez
2-1 HT 1-0
Troyes
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.38
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
13%
6.18
X/X
11%
4.67
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.16
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.80
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
24.6 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Rodez vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Troyes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.19
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 472
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-3 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
30.03.2024 Troyes Troyes 2-3 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.09.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
13.02.2021 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
17.10.2020 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
03.12.2019 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez squeezed past Troyes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rodez and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Troyes?

Rodez 2-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rodez 41%, draw 28%, Troyes 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✗ BTTS No
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