Stade Lavallois 1-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.05
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.74
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -26%
1.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.26
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.3 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
212 Passes 535
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
06.05.2022 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-2 HT 1-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
07.01.2022 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
23.03.2021 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
02.10.2020 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
22.02.2020 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.16 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
372 Passes 433
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Red Star FC 93 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 47% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 53%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Red Star FC 93?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 40%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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