Martigues 0-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.73
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
15.85
X/1
13%
9.63
X/2
24%
3.97
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.25
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 58%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.66/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.00
-88% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.9 Crosses 17.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Clermont
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.45 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
272 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
0-1
AWAY Clermont
0.43 xG 2.10
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 514
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont squeezed past Martigues 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Clermont as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Martigues had 36% of the ball to Clermont's 64%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.43 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Clermont's control.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Clermont?

Martigues 0-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Martigues 25%, draw 21%, Clermont 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clermont), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
10 Jan 2025
22:00 Stade Lavallois vs Red Star FC 93 Analysis →
22:00 Pau vs Dunkerque Analysis →
22:00 Annecy vs Guingamp Analysis →
22:00 Rodez vs Troyes Analysis →