Clermont 0-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
16%
3.82
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.29
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.71/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.59
-23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.9 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-1
AWAY Martigues
0.97 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
402 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues squeezed past Clermont 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Clermont had 58% of the ball to Martigues's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.97 to 0.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Clermont.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Martigues?

Clermont 0-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Clermont 49%, draw 26%, Martigues 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Clermont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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