Metz vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metz v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Metz vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Metz
FR2
3-6
HT 3-3
Guingamp
FR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Metz
FR1
1-3
HT 1-1
Guingamp
FR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Metz
FR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FR1
Metz 1-0 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Metz nicked a narrow win over Guingamp 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Metz had 52% of the ball to Guingamp's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.23 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Metz's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metz and 2.50 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Metz vs Guingamp?
Metz 1-0 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metz vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metz 44%, draw 28%, Guingamp 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.