Rodez 3-3 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Oct 2024

Rodez
3-3 HT 0-1
Lorient
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.66
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
8%
7.97
X/2
16%
4.46
X/X
9%
5.08
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.5
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.66 — our 22% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.24/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.91
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.2 Crosses 20.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Rodez vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lorient
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
320 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2020 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR2
23.09.2019 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez and Lorient couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lorient at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rodez and 1.50 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Lorient?

Rodez 3-3 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rodez 35%, draw 23%, Lorient 42%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5
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