Dunkerque 2-0 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.32
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.03
X/2
13%
5.97
X/X
14%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.21
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.25
-28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.5 Crosses 21.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
07.11.2022 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 4-2 HT 2-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR3
31.01.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
23.08.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR3
01.05.2015 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-0
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.76 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 351
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque saw off Red Star FC 93 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dunkerque had 48% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 52%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.76 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dunkerque and 1.40 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Red Star FC 93?

Dunkerque 2-0 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 38%, draw 27%, Red Star FC 93 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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