Pau 0-2 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.45
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.23
X/2
8%
6.06
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.26
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.75
Value flag · 2/X at 12.75 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.54/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.35
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.5 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
354 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-3 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
30.09.2023 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
04.03.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
05.11.2022 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
05.03.2022 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
21.09.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Pau Pau FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
0-2
AWAY Amiens SC
0.92 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
451 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pau vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC beat Pau 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pau at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pau had 61% of the ball to Amiens SC's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pau and 1.17 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Pau vs Amiens SC?

Pau 0-2 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pau 45%, draw 27%, Amiens SC 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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