Le Mans FC 1-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.66
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.85
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
7%
16.1
X/X
8%
6.16
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
5%
14.85
2/X
4%
23.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.63
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
Crosses 13.7
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.04.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.12.2011 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
20.05.2005 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
17.12.2004 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
23.05.2003 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
03.08.2002 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-0
AWAY Amiens SC
1.23 xG 0.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 195
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC edged past Amiens SC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 62% of the ball to Amiens SC's 38%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.23 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.67 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Amiens SC?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 67%, draw 18%, Amiens SC 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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