Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Colwyn Bay
GALWK
0-2
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GALWK
Connahs Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Colwyn Bay 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 46% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 54%, shots finished 12-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.20 for Colwyn Bay.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
Connahs Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 57%, draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.