Caernarfon Town 1-1 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.9pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.83/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.68
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Flint Town United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2025 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-5 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.01.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
25.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
19.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-3 HT 2-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
24.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Caernarfon Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.50 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United?

Caernarfon Town 1-1 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 51%, draw 20%, Flint Town United 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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