Caernarfon Town 3-0 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.74
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
21%
6.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+4.0pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.45/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.51
-6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Flint Town United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
19.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-3 HT 2-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
24.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.10.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
05.04.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-4 HT 0-2 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town cruised past Flint Town United 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.17 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United?

Caernarfon Town 3-0 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 46%, draw 27%, Flint Town United 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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