Connahs Quay 3-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 34% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.64/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.89
+3% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
12.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
23.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
01.03.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
18.10.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
25.08.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
3-0
AWAY Bala Town
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay swept aside Bala Town 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 67% of the ball to Bala Town's 33%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.50 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?

Connahs Quay 3-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 46%, draw 28%, Bala Town 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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