Flint Town United 2-5 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.56/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.75
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
25.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
19.04.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-3 HT 2-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
24.02.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.10.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint Town United
2-5
AWAY Caernarfon Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town cruised past Flint Town United 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (43% / 18% / 39%) promised a tight game; Caernarfon Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Flint Town United had 54% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 46%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flint Town United and 2.17 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town?

Flint Town United 2-5 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 43%, draw 18%, Caernarfon Town 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Town United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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