Haverfordwest County 2-2 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
14%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 38% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.5pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.25/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
-25% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.04.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
21.02.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
27.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALWK
28.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Cardiff MU couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.50 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Haverfordwest County 2-2 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 42%, draw 34%, Cardiff MU 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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