Bala Town 1-0 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.64
-42% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +106%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Colwyn Bay
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-3 HT 0-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
07.10.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
21.07.2015 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town HAZ
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town nicked a narrow win over Colwyn Bay 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bala Town and 1.33 for Colwyn Bay.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Bala Town 1-0 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 43%, draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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