The New Saints 3-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.23/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.10
+33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
31.12.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
30.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
21.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
08.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-5 HT 0-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
3-0
AWAY Connahs Quay
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Connahs Quay 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 62% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 38%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for The New Saints and 1.00 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

The New Saints 3-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 66%, draw 20%, Connahs Quay 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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